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₱ Fiscal Analysis Python Data Visualization 2010-2024

Philippine Government Budget & Spending

Comprehensive analysis of the Philippine national budget from 2010-2024, covering ₱5.768 trillion in allocations, revenue sources, sectoral distribution, and fiscal sustainability using DBM and Bureau of Treasury data.

₱5.768T
2024 National Budget
₱3.63T
Tax Revenue (2023)
22.1%
Budget-to-GDP Ratio
₱14.62T
National Debt
Time Period
Fiscal Years 2010-2024 (15 years)
Tech Stack
Python Pandas Chart.js HTML/CSS
Key Takeaways

The Philippine national budget grew 274% from P1.54T (2010) to P5.768T (2024), with education leading sector allocations while debt service continues to limit fiscal space.

  • National budget reached P5.768 trillion in 2024 with a budget-to-GDP ratio of 22.1%
  • Education receives the largest sector allocation at 15.8%, while debt service consumes 11.2% (P645.9B)
  • Tax revenue hit P3.63 trillion in 2023 against a national debt of P14.62 trillion
  • Aggressive infrastructure spending under Duterte pushed budgets above P4T annually from 2019-2022
01

National Budget Growth (2010-2024)

Tracking the Philippine national expenditure program across three administrations

📈 National Budget Trend (₱ Trillions)

📈 Total Growth

274%

National budget grew from ₱1.54T (2010) to ₱5.768T (2024) - a 274% increase in 15 years

🔴 Duterte Era

₱4.1T avg

Aggressive spending on infrastructure and social services pushed budgets above ₱4T annually from 2019-2022

📊 Marcos Jr. Era

₱5.268T

2023-2024 budgets emphasize infrastructure continuity, digital transformation, and post-pandemic recovery

02

Budget Allocation by Sector (2024)

Where the ₱5.768 trillion national budget is allocated across government functions

📈 2024 Budget Distribution by Sector

🏫 Education Leads

15.8%

Education remains the single largest sector by agency budget, though Local Government Transfers (IRA/NTA) account for 16.8% of the total budget

💰 Debt Burden

11.2%

Debt service consumes 11.2% of the budget (₱645.9B), limiting fiscal space for development spending and social programs

03

Top 10 Government Agencies by Budget

Agency-level allocation reveals government spending priorities for 2024

🏢 Top Agencies by 2024 Budget (₱ Billions)
📋 Agency Budget Details
Agency Sector 2024 Budget (₱B) YoY Growth Share (%)
DPWH Infrastructure 897.0 +10.5% 15.6%
DepEd Education 738.0 +8.1% 12.8%
DOH Health 297.0 +4.6% 5.1%
DND Defense 277.0 +11.7% 4.8%
DILG Interior/Security 252.0 +7.2% 4.4%
DSWD Social Welfare 212.0 +5.8% 3.7%
DA Agriculture 178.0 +12.4% 3.1%
DICT ICT/Digital 42.0 +18.2% 0.7%
DOST Science/Tech 28.0 +9.4% 0.5%
DOT Tourism 8.2 +6.5% 0.1%

🚧 DPWH Dominance

₱897B

DPWH has the largest single-agency budget, reflecting the government's "Build Better More" infrastructure program continuation

🏫 DepEd Scale

₱738B

Department of Education employs the most personnel in government - over 900,000 teachers and staff nationwide

04

Education Spending Trends

Tracking investment in human capital through DepEd, CHED, and State Universities

🎓 Education Budget vs Share of GDP (2010-2024)

📈 Budget Growth

3.4x

Education spending grew from ₱267B (2010) to ₱912B (2024) across DepEd, CHED, and state universities

📊 GDP Share

3.8%

Education spending as share of GDP rose from 3.2% to 3.8% - still below the 6% UNESCO recommendation

⚠️ UNESCO Gap

2.2pp

The Philippines still falls 2.2 percentage points short of the UNESCO benchmark, limiting classroom construction and teacher hiring

05

Health Spending Trends

COVID-19 pandemic reshaped health spending priorities and exposed capacity gaps

🏥 DOH Budget Trend (₱ Billions)

📈 COVID Spike

3x

DOH budget tripled from ₱98B (2019) to ₱295B (2021) to fund vaccine procurement, testing, and health worker benefits

💙 UHC Act Impact

₱211B

Universal Health Care Act (2019) mandated increased PhilHealth subsidies and expanded primary care coverage to all Filipinos

📊 Post-Pandemic

₱297B

Health budget normalized but remains 3x higher than pre-pandemic levels, reflecting permanent investments in health infrastructure

06

Infrastructure Spending (Build Build Build)

The flagship infrastructure program transformed DPWH into the largest spending agency

🚧 DPWH Budget & Infra as % of GDP (2016-2024)
📋 Key Infrastructure Flagship Projects
Project Type Cost (₱B) Status
Metro Manila Subway Rail Transit 488.0 Under Construction
NSCR (North-South Commuter Railway) Rail Transit 777.5 Under Construction
NLEX-SLEX Connector Expressway 23.3 Partially Open
CCLEX (Cebu-Cordova Bridge) Bridge 30.0 Completed 2022
New Manila International Airport Airport 740.0 Under Construction
Mindanao Railway Phase 1 Rail Transit 82.9 Pre-Construction

🚧 Build Build Build Era

Launched in 2017 under Duterte, the program aimed to usher in a "Golden Age of Infrastructure." Infra spending rose from 4.2% to 6.8% of GDP, among the highest in ASEAN. Key projects include Manila Subway, NLEX-SLEX Connector, and Cebu-Mactan Bridge.

📊 Build Better More

The Marcos administration rebranded and continued the program, prioritizing completion of ongoing projects and adding digital infrastructure. The 2024 DPWH budget of ₱897B reflects sustained commitment to closing the infrastructure gap.

07

Defense & Security Budget

Military modernization and internal security spending amid South China Sea tensions

🛡️ Defense & Security Budget Breakdown (₱ Billions)

⚖️ AFP Modernization

₱54.6B

The Revised AFP Modernization Program (Horizon 2 & 3) allocated ₱54.6B for multi-role fighters, frigates, and radar systems to boost maritime defense capabilities

📊 GDP Share

1.1%

Defense spending at 1.1% of GDP remains below the 2% NATO benchmark. South China Sea disputes and West Philippine Sea patrols are driving increased allocations

08

Social Services & Transfers

Safety net programs targeting the most vulnerable sectors of society

🤝 Social Protection Programs (₱ Billions)
📋 Social Protection Program Details
Program Agency Budget (₱B) Beneficiaries Per Capita (₱/mo)
4Ps (Pantawid Pamilya) DSWD 113.0 4.4M households 2,140
Senior Citizen Pension DSWD 28.4 4.1M seniors 1,000
UCT (Unconditional Cash Transfer) DSWD 18.4 3.8M families 400
AICS (Crisis Intervention) DSWD 12.6 2.1M individuals Variable
PWD Support Programs DSWD/NCDA 8.2 1.4M PWDs Variable
COVID SAP (2020-2021) DSWD 205.0 18M families 5,000-8,000

👪 4Ps Program

₱113B

Pantawid Pamilyang Pilipino Program covers 4.4 million household beneficiaries - conditional cash transfers for education and health

👴 Senior Citizens

₱28.4B

Social pension for indigent seniors aged 60+ provides ₱1,000/month to 4.1 million beneficiaries nationwide

🤏 COVID SAP

₱205B

Social Amelioration Program distributed ₱205B in emergency cash aid to 18 million low-income families during 2020-2021 lockdowns

09

Debt Service vs Development Spending

Balancing debt obligations with investments in growth and social development

💰 Spending Composition (₱ Trillions)

📈 Debt Sustainability

National debt reached ₱14.62T by end-2024, with debt-to-GDP ratio at 60.2%. While above the 60% international threshold, the Philippines maintains investment-grade credit ratings (BBB+) due to strong GDP growth and manageable interest payments.

📊 Development Priority

Capital outlay (infrastructure) grew from 12% to 21% of spending between 2010-2024, while debt service share declined from 18% to 11.2%. This shift reflects a deliberate strategy to prioritize productive spending over debt reduction.

10

Per-Capita Government Spending by Region

Regional equity in budget distribution across the Philippine archipelago

🌎 Per-Capita Government Spending by Region (₱)

🏙️ NCR Leads

₱98,200

National Capital Region has the highest per-capita spending due to concentration of national government offices, agencies, and central infrastructure projects

📊 Regional Gap

3.6x

NCR per-capita spending is 3.6x higher than BARMM (₱27,100). National average is ₱52,400. The Mandanas ruling (2022) aims to address this by increasing local government shares of national taxes

11

Budget Utilization Rate

How efficiently government agencies spend their allocated budgets

📊 Obligation & Disbursement Rates (2015-2024)
📋 Utilization Rates by Year
Year Budget (₱T) Obligation Rate Disbursement Rate Unspent (₱B)
2015 2.61 89.2% 82.4% 459
2016 3.00 90.8% 83.8% 486
2017 3.35 91.4% 84.2% 529
2018 3.77 92.8% 86.1% 524
2019 3.76 93.1% 86.8% 496
2020 4.10 88.4% 80.2% 812
2021 4.51 91.2% 83.6% 740
2022 5.02 93.4% 86.4% 682
2023 5.27 94.1% 87.2% 674
2024 5.768 92.6% 85.0% 865

Obligation Rate

~92%

Average obligation rate of 92% means agencies commit most of their budgets to contracts and personnel. The gap represents unused allotments that lapse at year-end.

⚠️ Disbursement Gap

~85%

Disbursement rate lags at 85% - meaning ₱865B allocated in 2024 may not actually flow into the economy. Slow procurement, right-of-way issues, and LGU capacity gaps are key bottlenecks.

12

Revenue Sources

Where the government gets its money - tax and non-tax revenue breakdown

💰 Government Revenue Sources (2023)
📋 Revenue Breakdown Details (2023)
Source Collecting Agency Amount (₱B) Share (%) YoY Growth
Income Tax BIR 1,248.0 34.4% +11.2%
Value Added Tax (VAT) BIR 682.0 18.8% +9.4%
Excise Tax BIR 312.0 8.6% +7.8%
Other BIR Collections BIR 198.0 5.5% +5.2%
Customs Duties BOC 668.0 18.4% +8.6%
Non-Tax Revenue Various 294.0 8.1% +6.9%
Other Offices BTr/Others 228.0 6.3% +4.1%

🏢 BIR Dominance

67.2%

Bureau of Internal Revenue collects ₱2.44T - two-thirds of all government revenue through income tax, VAT, excise taxes, and other internal revenue taxes

🚢 Customs Revenue

18.4%

Bureau of Customs collects ₱668B from import duties and tariffs. Revenue has grown with import volume increases and improved collection efficiency

13

Tax vs Non-Tax Revenue Trends

Improving tax effort ratio and the impact of the TRAIN Law on revenue generation

📊 Tax & Non-Tax Revenue with Tax Effort (2010-2024)

📈 TRAIN Law Impact

+1.9pp

Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion (TRAIN) Law enacted in 2018 raised tax effort from 13.2% to 15.1% of GDP through expanded VAT, higher excise on fuel and tobacco, and simplified income tax brackets

📊 Revenue Target

₱4.3T

Government targets ₱4.3T revenue by 2025 through continued tax administration reforms, digital tax compliance (e-invoicing), and pending tax packages under the Comprehensive Tax Reform Program

14

Fiscal Deficit Trend

Government fiscal balance as percentage of GDP - the pandemic shock and recovery path

📉 Fiscal Deficit as % of GDP (2010-2024)

🔴 Pandemic Shock

-8.6%

2020 deficit reached -8.6% of GDP as revenues collapsed and emergency spending surged during COVID-19 lockdowns

📈 Recovery Path

-5.7%

Deficit narrowed to -5.7% of GDP by 2024 through revenue recovery and spending normalization. Government targets -3.0% by 2028

📊 Pre-Pandemic

-3.4%

Average pre-pandemic deficit of -3.4% (2016-2019) was manageable and funded the Build Build Build program through sustainable borrowing

15

ASEAN Government Spending Comparison

How Philippine public spending compares with regional peers as percentage of GDP

🌎 Government Spending as % of GDP - ASEAN Comparison
📋 ASEAN Spending Comparison Details
Country Education (% GDP) Health (% GDP) Infrastructure (% GDP) Total Gov Spending (% GDP)
Philippines 3.8% 1.8% 6.8% 22.1%
Thailand 4.1% 3.8% 5.2% 23.4%
Vietnam 5.7% 2.8% 6.1% 28.2%
Indonesia 3.5% 2.4% 5.8% 17.8%
Malaysia 4.8% 3.2% 4.5% 24.6%

📊 Education Gap

The Philippines spends 3.8% of GDP on education - higher than Indonesia (3.5%) but below Thailand (4.1%) and Malaysia (4.8%). Vietnam leads at 5.7%, closer to the UNESCO 6% target.

🏥 Health Underinvestment

Philippine health spending at 1.8% of GDP is the lowest among the five ASEAN peers compared. Thailand (3.8%) and Malaysia (3.2%) invest significantly more, which correlates with better health outcomes.

16

Key Findings & Summary

Critical insights from Philippine government budget and fiscal data analysis

📈 Budget Growth

  • 274% growth from ₱1.54T (2010) to ₱5.768T (2024)
  • Sustained expansion across three presidential administrations
  • Infrastructure and social services drove the largest increases
  • Budget-to-GDP ratio stabilized at 22.1% by 2024

📊 Sectoral Allocation

  • Education and infrastructure receive the largest shares combined
  • Health spending permanently elevated post-pandemic
  • Social protection expanded with 4Ps covering 4.4M households
  • Debt service declining as share despite growing nominal debt

💰 Fiscal Discipline

  • TRAIN Law improved tax effort from 13.2% to 15.1% of GDP
  • Budget utilization averaging 92% obligation, 85% disbursement
  • Fiscal deficit narrowing from -8.6% (2020) to -5.7% (2024)
  • Investment-grade credit ratings maintained (BBB+)

⚠️ Debt Sustainability

  • National debt at ₱14.62T with 60.2% debt-to-GDP ratio
  • Interest payments consume ₱645.9B annually (11.2% of budget)
  • Foreign vs domestic debt mix managed to reduce FX risk
  • Medium-term target to bring debt-to-GDP below 55% by 2028

Data Source & Methodology

This analysis uses budget and fiscal data from official Philippine government sources and international databases.

  • Primary Source: Department of Budget and Management (dbm.gov.ph) - General Appropriations Act, Budget of Expenditures and Sources of Financing
  • Secondary Source: Bureau of Treasury (treasury.gov.ph) - National Government Fiscal Position, Debt Statistics
  • Open Data: data.gov.ph - Government expenditure datasets and public finance records
  • GDP Data: Philippine Statistics Authority (psa.gov.ph) - National Accounts
  • Time Period: Fiscal Years 2010-2024 (15 years, 3 administrations)
  • ASEAN Data: World Bank Open Data, ADB Key Indicators, and respective national statistics offices

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