How themes get found
Six free-text answers from each of a handful of leavers is not much data, which is both the constraint and the reason this works. There is no statistics here; there is grouping, a threshold, and one comparison that is unique to asking twice.
Key takeaways
- Themes come from a fixed list you maintain, not from free clustering.
- Nothing is reported below three people. Two is a coincidence.
- A theme carries a count and a direction, never a quote.
- The comparison between ask one and ask two is the finding nobody else has.
- An answer that matches no theme is counted as unmatched, which is itself a signal.
A fixed theme list
The instinct is to let a model cluster free text and name the clusters. It produces different groupings every time it runs, which makes trends impossible, and it occasionally names a cluster in a way that is effectively a quote.
So the themes are a list you maintain — pay, scheduling, workload, management, progression, environment, commute, a better offer — and the model’s job is classification into that list, or none. Same input, same output, every time, and trends over quarters mean something.
- Database
- App integration
- Machine learning
- Management
- Analytics
- Front-end & mobile
Three, not two
Two people mentioning scheduling in a quarter is a coincidence in a small business, and reporting it produces a manager who can name both of them. Three is the smallest number at which a pattern is more likely than a coincidence and at which attribution starts to get genuinely difficult.
The threshold is a setting, and the honest guidance is that raising it is safer than lowering it. A business with forty leavers a year could reasonably use five.
Unmatched answers
An answer that matches no theme is counted as unmatched rather than discarded, and a rising unmatched count is one of the more useful signals the system produces: it means people are leaving for reasons your theme list does not contain. Reviewing the unmatched answers — which requires somebody senior reading raw text, deliberately and rarely — is how the theme list gets updated.
The comparison nobody else has
Because the same person answers the same six questions twice, the system can do something no ordinary exit process can: compare them.
- Management
- Analytics
- Front-end & mobile
That shift — six people citing a better offer on the way out, two of them still saying it six weeks later, and scheduling appearing in its place — is the single most persuasive output this system produces, because it is the measurable version of something everybody already suspects about exit interviews and nobody has ever been able to demonstrate.
Next: what the report says, and everything it refuses to say.
All posts